FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs FK Cukaricki

21 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.2 pp

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

FK Cukaricki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.4% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 17.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.1% 1.70 DRAW 24.0% 3.90 AWAY 20.8% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FK Zeleznicar Pancevo clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 60.4% win probability, compared with 55.1% implied by the market. The 5.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo FK Cukaricki

Shots 16.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours FK Zeleznicar Pancevo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo FK Cukaricki

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 7.0

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo FK Cukaricki

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Zeleznicar Pancevo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo ↓ -0.10 (-5.6%)

FK Cukaricki ↑ +0.30 (+7.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.