FK Macva Sabac vs Mladost Lucani

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

FK Macva Sabac

Mladost Lucani

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 30.3% AWAY 33.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.3% 2.70 DRAW 30.1% 3.17 AWAY 34.6% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Macva Sabac

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Macva Sabac Mladost Lucani

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Macva Sabac Mladost Lucani

Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 7.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Macva Sabac Mladost Lucani

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FK Macva Sabac ↑ +0.30 (+12.5%)

Mladost Lucani ↓ -0.35 (-11.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.