Vitesse U21 vs NAC U21

15 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.4 pp

Vitesse U21

NAC U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.5% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 28.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% 2.19 DRAW 23.7% 3.90 AWAY 34.2% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Vitesse U21 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.5% win probability, compared with 42.1% implied by the market. The 7.4 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Vitesse U21 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vitesse U21 NAC U21

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Vitesse U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vitesse U21 NAC U21

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 7.3

Vitesse U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vitesse U21 NAC U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Vitesse U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vitesse U21 ↑ +0.09 (+4.3%)

NAC U21 ↑ +0.15 (+5.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.