Derby Reserves vs Salford City Reserves

15 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Derby Reserves

Salford City Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.6% DRAW 18.6% AWAY 26.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.8% 1.67 DRAW 19.9% 4.50 AWAY 26.3% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Derby Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Derby Reserves Salford City Reserves

Shots 8.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 4.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Derby Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Derby Reserves Salford City Reserves

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.8

Salford City Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Derby Reserves Salford City Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Salford City Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Derby Reserves = (0.0%)

Salford City Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.