Notts County Reserves vs Mansfield Reserves

15 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Notts County Reserves

Mansfield Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 49.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.1% 4.10 DRAW 24.7% 4.00 AWAY 51.3% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mansfield Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Notts County Reserves Mansfield Reserves

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 7.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Mansfield Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Notts County Reserves Mansfield Reserves

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Notts County Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Notts County Reserves Mansfield Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Notts County Reserves ↑ +0.50 (+13.9%)

Mansfield Reserves ↑ +0.28 (+16.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.