Belen Arco Zaragoza vs Politecnico J.I.C.

15 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Belen Arco Zaragoza

Politecnico J.I.C.

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.1% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 36.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% 2.61 DRAW 26.4% 3.40 AWAY 39.1% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Belen Arco Zaragoza relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.1% win probability, compared with 34.5% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Belen Arco Zaragoza

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Belen Arco Zaragoza Politecnico J.I.C.

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 5.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Belen Arco Zaragoza, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Belen Arco Zaragoza Politecnico J.I.C.

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Belen Arco Zaragoza Politecnico J.I.C.

The combined recent performance profile favours Belen Arco Zaragoza.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Belen Arco Zaragoza ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Politecnico J.I.C. ↓ -0.03 (-1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.