Al Ahli Amman (W) vs Al Orouba (W)

15 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.6 pp

Al Ahli Amman (W)

Al Orouba (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.1% DRAW 15.1% AWAY 15.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.5% 1.44 DRAW 17.4% 5.25 AWAY 19.1% 4.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Al Ahli Amman (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.1% win probability, compared with 63.5% implied by the market. The 5.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Ahli Amman (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Ahli Amman (W) Al Orouba (W)

Shots 37.3 · On target 22.0 Shots 27.3 · On target 17.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Ahli Amman (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Ahli Amman (W) Al Orouba (W)

Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 0.8

Al Ahli Amman (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Ahli Amman (W) Al Orouba (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Ahli Amman (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Ahli Amman (W) ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

Al Orouba (W) ↑ +0.05 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.