HB Køge vs Hobro IK

21 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

HB Køge

Hobro IK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 32.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% 2.45 DRAW 26.7% 3.58 AWAY 34.2% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Hobro IK

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

HB Køge Hobro IK

Shots 13.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours HB Køge, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

HB Køge Hobro IK

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Hobro IK has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

HB Køge Hobro IK

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

HB Køge ↑ +0.16 (+7.0%)

Hobro IK ↓ -0.20 (-6.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.