Bangor Reserves vs Limavady United Reserves

14 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

Bangor Reserves

Limavady United Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% DRAW 20.3% AWAY 37.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.1% 2.51 DRAW 21.5% 4.33 AWAY 41.4% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Bangor Reserves clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.7% win probability, compared with 37.1% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Bangor Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bangor Reserves Limavady United Reserves

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bangor Reserves Limavady United Reserves

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 9.3

Bangor Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bangor Reserves Limavady United Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Bangor Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Bangor Reserves ↑ +0.26 (+11.6%)

Limavady United Reserves = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.