Nautico Hacoaj vs Uribelarrea FC

16 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Nautico Hacoaj

Uribelarrea FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.2% DRAW 32.9% AWAY 29.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.7% 2.35 DRAW 32.2% 2.90 AWAY 28.1% 3.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Uribelarrea FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nautico Hacoaj Uribelarrea FC

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nautico Hacoaj Uribelarrea FC

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Uribelarrea FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nautico Hacoaj Uribelarrea FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Uribelarrea FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nautico Hacoaj ↓ -0.05 (-1.9%)

Uribelarrea FC ↓ -0.05 (-1.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.