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Argentina Reserve League · AR

El Porvenir Reserves vs Canuelas FC Reserves

15 Sep 2026 · 16:00
OPPORTUNITY
NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp
El Porvenir Reserves
Canuelas FC Reserves
STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY
HOME 42.1% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 30.2%
MARKET PROBABILITY
HOME 40.8% 2.20 DRAW 28.0% 3.20 AWAY 31.2% 2.88
MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: El Porvenir Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
El Porvenir Reserves Canuelas FC Reserves
Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours El Porvenir Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
El Porvenir Reserves Canuelas FC Reserves
Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Canuelas FC Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
El Porvenir Reserves Canuelas FC Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

El Porvenir Reserves = (0.0%)
Canuelas FC Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.