Al Duhail vs Al-Arabi Doha

21 Sep 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Al Duhail

Al-Arabi Doha

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.6% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 47.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.4% 3.43 DRAW 25.9% 3.50 AWAY 47.7% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Al-Arabi Doha

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Duhail Al-Arabi Doha

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Duhail Al-Arabi Doha

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Al-Arabi Doha has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Duhail Al-Arabi Doha

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Duhail ↑ +1.48 (+75.6%)

Al-Arabi Doha ↓ -1.30 (-40.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.