Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira

16 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Carabobo

Deportivo La Guaira

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 23.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% 1.87 DRAW 28.2% 3.30 AWAY 22.1% 4.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo La Guaira

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Carabobo Deportivo La Guaira

Shots 16.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 14.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Carabobo Deportivo La Guaira

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Deportivo La Guaira has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Carabobo Deportivo La Guaira

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo La Guaira.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Carabobo ↑ +0.07 (+3.1%)

Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +0.12 (+4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.