UCV vs Academia Anzoategui FC

16 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

UCV

Academia Anzoategui FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.9% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 16.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.4% 1.61 DRAW 24.4% 3.79 AWAY 18.2% 5.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for UCV relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 60.9% win probability, compared with 57.4% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

UCV has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

UCV Academia Anzoategui FC

Shots 15.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours UCV, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UCV Academia Anzoategui FC

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 5.3

UCV has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UCV Academia Anzoategui FC

The combined recent performance profile favours UCV.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

UCV = (0.0%)

Academia Anzoategui FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.