Panthrakikos vs Niki Volou

21 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Panthrakikos

Niki Volou

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.5% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 47.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.4% 4.42 DRAW 27.4% 3.45 AWAY 51.1% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Panthrakikos relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 24.5% win probability, compared with 21.4% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Niki Volou

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Panthrakikos Niki Volou

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Niki Volou, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Panthrakikos Niki Volou

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Panthrakikos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Panthrakikos Niki Volou

The combined recent performance profile favours Panthrakikos.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Panthrakikos ↓ -0.59 (-11.7%)

Niki Volou ↑ +0.18 (+11.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.