PAOK Salonika B vs Nestos Chrisoupolis

21 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

PAOK Salonika B

Nestos Chrisoupolis

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.6% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 25.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% 2.25 DRAW 30.3% 3.12 AWAY 27.8% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for PAOK Salonika B relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.6% win probability, compared with 42.0% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PAOK Salonika B

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

PAOK Salonika B Nestos Chrisoupolis

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours PAOK Salonika B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PAOK Salonika B Nestos Chrisoupolis

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PAOK Salonika B Nestos Chrisoupolis

The combined recent performance profile favours PAOK Salonika B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

PAOK Salonika B ↑ +0.52 (+30.3%)

Nestos Chrisoupolis ↓ -1.35 (-28.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.