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Jamaica Premier League · JM

Chapelton Maroons FC vs Racing United FC

09 Nov 2026 · 23:05
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for Racing United FC. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.78 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.86. At this price, an away win for Racing United FC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Chapelton Maroons FC
STOCHASTICBET 19.9%
PINNACLE 21.7% odd 4.19
DIFFERENCE -1.8 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 26.3%
PINNACLE 27.0% odd 3.37
DIFFERENCE -0.7 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Racing United FC
STOCHASTICBET 53.8%
PINNACLE 51.3% odd 1.78
DIFFERENCE +2.5 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 13:31
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Racing United FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Chapelton Maroons FC Racing United FC
Shots 8.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Racing United FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Chapelton Maroons FC Racing United FC
Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Chapelton Maroons FC Racing United FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Racing United FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-09 13:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -1.60 pp -3.57 pp
DRAW -0.81 pp -0.45 pp
AWAY +2.42 pp +4.01 pp

Market Agreement: AWAY UP

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — -6.59 pp
DRAW — +0.07 pp
AWAY — +6.51 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.