Carlos Mannucci (W) vs Yanapuma (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 22:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Carlos Mannucci (W)

Yanapuma (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.4% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 26.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.7% 2.05 DRAW 26.1% 3.90 AWAY 24.2% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Carlos Mannucci (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Carlos Mannucci (W) Yanapuma (W)

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Carlos Mannucci (W) Yanapuma (W)

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Yanapuma (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Carlos Mannucci (W) Yanapuma (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Carlos Mannucci (W) ↓ -0.20 (-8.9%)

Yanapuma (W) ↑ +1.65 (+64.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.