FC Killas (W) vs Flamengo FBC (W)

25 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

FC Killas (W)

Flamengo FBC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 32.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.15 DRAW 24.2% 3.74 AWAY 33.6% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Killas (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Killas (W) Flamengo FBC (W)

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Killas (W) Flamengo FBC (W)

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Killas (W) Flamengo FBC (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Killas (W) ↓ -0.60 (-21.8%)

Flamengo FBC (W) ↑ +0.55 (+25.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.