UNSAAC (W) vs Universitario de Deportes (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

UNSAAC (W)

Universitario de Deportes (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 1.4% DRAW 3.7% AWAY 94.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 1.6% 65.00 DRAW 4.4% 23.00 AWAY 94.0% 1.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Universitario de Deportes (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

UNSAAC (W) Universitario de Deportes (W)

Shots 12.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 20.0 · On target 9.3

Recent attacking output favours Universitario de Deportes (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UNSAAC (W) Universitario de Deportes (W)

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Universitario de Deportes (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UNSAAC (W) Universitario de Deportes (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Universitario de Deportes (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

UNSAAC (W) ↑ +51.00 (+364.3%)

Universitario de Deportes (W) = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.