Independiente Petrolero U19 vs Bolivar U19

15 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Independiente Petrolero U19

Bolivar U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.8% DRAW 17.4% AWAY 68.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.0% 6.25 DRAW 18.7% 5.00 AWAY 66.3% 1.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Bolivar U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 68.8% win probability, compared with 66.3% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bolivar U19

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Independiente Petrolero U19 Bolivar U19

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Independiente Petrolero U19 Bolivar U19

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Bolivar U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Independiente Petrolero U19 Bolivar U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Bolivar U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Independiente Petrolero U19 = (0.0%)

Bolivar U19 ↑ +0.08 (+5.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.