PSTC vs AA Iguacu

26 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

PSTC

AA Iguacu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 27.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% 2.20 DRAW 28.8% 3.25 AWAY 28.6% 3.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PSTC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

PSTC AA Iguacu

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 2.5 · On target 0.0

Recent attacking output favours PSTC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PSTC AA Iguacu

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 0.5

AA Iguacu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PSTC AA Iguacu

The combined recent performance profile favours PSTC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

PSTC ↑ +0.10 (+4.8%)

AA Iguacu ↑ +0.17 (+5.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.