CD Origen (W) vs Deportivo Chiriqui (W)

15 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

CD Origen (W)

Deportivo Chiriqui (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 89.0% DRAW 7.0% AWAY 4.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 86.2% 1.11 DRAW 8.7% 11.00 AWAY 5.0% 19.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CD Origen (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 89.0% win probability, compared with 86.2% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CD Origen (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Origen (W) Deportivo Chiriqui (W)

Shots 10.8 · On target 7.5 Shots 4.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Origen (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Origen (W) Deportivo Chiriqui (W)

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 4.5

CD Origen (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Origen (W) Deportivo Chiriqui (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Origen (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CD Origen (W) ↑ +0.08 (+7.3%)

Deportivo Chiriqui (W) ↓ -15.00 (-44.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.