NK Ljutomer vs NK Carda

15 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

NK Ljutomer

NK Carda

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 39.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% 2.30 DRAW 22.3% 4.00 AWAY 38.8% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Ljutomer

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Ljutomer NK Carda

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 5.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours NK Ljutomer, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Ljutomer NK Carda

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 1.3

NK Carda has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Ljutomer NK Carda

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Carda.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Ljutomer ↓ -0.05 (-2.1%)

NK Carda ↓ -0.05 (-2.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.