Manta FC vs Orense

21 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Manta FC

Orense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.9% DRAW 31.4% AWAY 34.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% 2.98 DRAW 30.9% 3.08 AWAY 37.1% 2.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Orense

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Manta FC Orense

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Manta FC Orense

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.8

Manta FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Manta FC Orense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Manta FC ↑ +0.43 (+16.8%)

Orense ↓ -0.17 (-6.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.