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Israel Cup · IL

Beitar Petah Tikva vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

15 Sep 2026 · 15:00
SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp
Beitar Petah Tikva
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
HOME 34.9% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 38.4%
HOME 37.2% 2.40 DRAW 27.1% 3.30 AWAY 35.7% 2.50

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.4% win probability, compared with 35.7% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Beitar Petah Tikva Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Beitar Petah Tikva Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Beitar Petah Tikva Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

The combined recent performance profile favours Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Beitar Petah Tikva = (0.0%)
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.