Ironi Beit Shemesh vs Hapoel Herzliya

15 Sep 2026 · 18:50

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Ironi Beit Shemesh

Hapoel Herzliya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.5% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 47.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.7% 3.16 DRAW 26.7% 3.40 AWAY 44.7% 2.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hapoel Herzliya relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.5% win probability, compared with 44.7% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Herzliya has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ironi Beit Shemesh Hapoel Herzliya

Shots 4.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Herzliya, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ironi Beit Shemesh Hapoel Herzliya

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Hapoel Herzliya has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ironi Beit Shemesh Hapoel Herzliya

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Herzliya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ironi Beit Shemesh ↑ +0.06 (+1.9%)

Hapoel Herzliya ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.