Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia

16 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

Rentistas

Plaza Colonia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.8% DRAW 31.0% AWAY 34.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% 2.65 DRAW 30.7% 3.02 AWAY 34.3% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Rentistas

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rentistas Plaza Colonia

Shots 5.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rentistas Plaza Colonia

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rentistas Plaza Colonia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Rentistas ↓ -0.40 (-13.1%)

Plaza Colonia ↑ +0.45 (+20.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.