Gala Fairydean vs Bonnyrigg Rose

16 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Gala Fairydean

Bonnyrigg Rose

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.0% DRAW 17.8% AWAY 68.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.0% 6.18 DRAW 19.1% 4.85 AWAY 66.0% 1.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Bonnyrigg Rose has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gala Fairydean Bonnyrigg Rose

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Bonnyrigg Rose, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gala Fairydean Bonnyrigg Rose

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Bonnyrigg Rose has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gala Fairydean Bonnyrigg Rose

The combined recent performance profile favours Bonnyrigg Rose.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Gala Fairydean ↑ +1.12 (+22.1%)

Bonnyrigg Rose ↓ -0.10 (-6.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.