Tritium vs ASD Villa D'Alme

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Tritium

ASD Villa D'Alme

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.7% DRAW 30.9% AWAY 40.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.5% 3.43 DRAW 30.5% 3.20 AWAY 41.0% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASD Villa D'Alme

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tritium ASD Villa D'Alme

Shots 5.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours ASD Villa D'Alme, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tritium ASD Villa D'Alme

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Tritium has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tritium ASD Villa D'Alme

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tritium ↑ +1.00 (+41.2%)

ASD Villa D'Alme ↓ -0.32 (-11.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.