BuxDu vs Respublika FA

17 Sep 2026 · 13:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

BuxDu

Respublika FA

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.6% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 51.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.5% 3.64 DRAW 24.5% 3.80 AWAY 50.0% 1.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Respublika FA has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

BuxDu Respublika FA

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Respublika FA, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

BuxDu Respublika FA

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 8.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

BuxDu Respublika FA

The combined recent performance profile favours Respublika FA.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

BuxDu ↑ +1.04 (+40.0%)

Respublika FA ↓ -0.34 (-15.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.