Fraserburgh vs Formartine United

16 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.1 pp

Fraserburgh

Formartine United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 39.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.5% 2.36 DRAW 25.9% 3.60 AWAY 34.6% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Formartine United clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.7% win probability, compared with 34.6% implied by the market. The 5.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Formartine United has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fraserburgh Formartine United

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fraserburgh Formartine United

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Formartine United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fraserburgh Formartine United

The combined recent performance profile favours Formartine United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fraserburgh ↑ +0.16 (+7.3%)

Formartine United ↑ +0.08 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.