Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Siroki Brijeg

Borac Banja Luka

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.5% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 63.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.0% 6.73 DRAW 23.4% 4.02 AWAY 62.6% 1.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Borac Banja Luka

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Siroki Brijeg Borac Banja Luka

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Siroki Brijeg Borac Banja Luka

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.0

Borac Banja Luka has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Siroki Brijeg Borac Banja Luka

The combined recent performance profile favours Borac Banja Luka.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Siroki Brijeg ↑ +1.23 (+22.4%)

Borac Banja Luka ↓ -0.05 (-2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.