Guisborough Town vs Morpeth Town

16 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Guisborough Town

Morpeth Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 32.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.30 DRAW 25.8% 3.60 AWAY 33.8% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Morpeth Town

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guisborough Town Morpeth Town

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Morpeth Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guisborough Town Morpeth Town

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Guisborough Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guisborough Town Morpeth Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Guisborough Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Guisborough Town ↑ +0.08 (+3.6%)

Morpeth Town ↑ +0.15 (+5.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.