Shifnal Town vs Chasetown

16 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.2 pp

Shifnal Town

Chasetown

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.7% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 22.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.5% 1.93 DRAW 23.9% 3.99 AWAY 26.5% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Shifnal Town substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.7% win probability, compared with 49.5% implied by the market. The 6.2 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Shifnal Town has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shifnal Town Chasetown

Shots 15.0 · On target 8.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Shifnal Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shifnal Town Chasetown

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Shifnal Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shifnal Town Chasetown

The combined recent performance profile favours Shifnal Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Shifnal Town ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

Chasetown ↑ +0.38 (+11.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.