Potros Del Este vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

17 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.6 pp

Potros Del Este

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 29.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.2% 1.90 DRAW 26.2% 3.50 AWAY 25.6% 3.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sporting San Miguelito Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 29.3% win probability, compared with 25.6% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Potros Del Este Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Shots 8.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Sporting San Miguelito Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Potros Del Este Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Potros Del Este Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Sporting San Miguelito Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Potros Del Este = (0.0%)

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.