Pinheirense EC vs SC Paraense

16 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Pinheirense EC

SC Paraense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 29.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% 2.15 DRAW 28.8% 3.20 AWAY 28.4% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pinheirense EC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pinheirense EC SC Paraense

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 2.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Pinheirense EC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pinheirense EC SC Paraense

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.5

SC Paraense has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pinheirense EC SC Paraense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Pinheirense EC = (0.0%)

SC Paraense ↑ +0.15 (+4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.