Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Holon Yaniv

17 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Shimshon Tel Aviv

Hapoel Holon Yaniv

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 22.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% 1.93 DRAW 28.0% 3.25 AWAY 25.0% 3.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Shimshon Tel Aviv relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.8% win probability, compared with 47.0% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Shimshon Tel Aviv has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shimshon Tel Aviv Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Shimshon Tel Aviv, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shimshon Tel Aviv Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Shimshon Tel Aviv has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shimshon Tel Aviv Hapoel Holon Yaniv

The combined recent performance profile favours Shimshon Tel Aviv.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shimshon Tel Aviv ↑ +0.01 (+0.7%)

Hapoel Holon Yaniv ↓ -0.11 (-2.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.