Aveley vs Ware

25 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Aveley

Ware

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.0% DRAW 13.9% AWAY 9.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.5% 1.27 DRAW 15.1% 6.34 AWAY 9.4% 10.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ware

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aveley Ware

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Ware, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aveley Ware

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Aveley has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aveley Ware

The combined recent performance profile favours Aveley.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Aveley = (0.0%)

Ware ↑ +2.70 (+36.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.