Galway United vs Shelbourne

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Galway United

Shelbourne

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 39.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.3% 2.92 DRAW 28.6% 3.40 AWAY 38.1% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Shelbourne

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Galway United Shelbourne

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Galway United Shelbourne

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Galway United Shelbourne

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Galway United ↑ +0.02 (+0.7%)

Shelbourne ↑ +0.23 (+9.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.