FC Iberia 2010 vs FC Merani Tbilisi

17 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

FC Iberia 2010

FC Merani Tbilisi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.3% DRAW 19.2% AWAY 65.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.3% 5.59 DRAW 20.3% 4.50 AWAY 63.4% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Merani Tbilisi

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Iberia 2010 FC Merani Tbilisi

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Merani Tbilisi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Iberia 2010 FC Merani Tbilisi

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Iberia 2010 FC Merani Tbilisi

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Merani Tbilisi.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Iberia 2010 ↓ -0.63 (-10.1%)

FC Merani Tbilisi ↑ +0.12 (+8.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.