Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Orbi

17 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Lokomotiv Tbilisi

FC Orbi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 38.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.7% 2.38 DRAW 24.9% 3.60 AWAY 37.4% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FC Orbi

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lokomotiv Tbilisi FC Orbi

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 14.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lokomotiv Tbilisi FC Orbi

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.3

FC Orbi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lokomotiv Tbilisi FC Orbi

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Lokomotiv Tbilisi ↑ +0.28 (+13.1%)

FC Orbi ↓ -0.35 (-12.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.