FC Margveti 2006 vs Gardabani

17 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.1 pp

FC Margveti 2006

Gardabani

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.7% DRAW 17.6% AWAY 11.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.6% 1.44 DRAW 19.9% 4.75 AWAY 14.5% 6.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FC Margveti 2006 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 70.7% win probability, compared with 65.6% implied by the market. The 5.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Margveti 2006 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Margveti 2006 Gardabani

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Margveti 2006, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Margveti 2006 Gardabani

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 8.8

FC Margveti 2006 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Margveti 2006 Gardabani

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Margveti 2006.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Margveti 2006 ↓ -0.77 (-34.8%)

Gardabani ↑ +0.75 (+13.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.