Sarpsborg U19 vs Odd BK U19

17 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Sarpsborg U19

Odd BK U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.7% DRAW 19.8% AWAY 43.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% 2.73 DRAW 20.9% 4.40 AWAY 45.5% 2.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sarpsborg U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.7% win probability, compared with 33.7% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Odd BK U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sarpsborg U19 Odd BK U19

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Odd BK U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sarpsborg U19 Odd BK U19

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Sarpsborg U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sarpsborg U19 Odd BK U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sarpsborg U19 ↑ +0.10 (+3.9%)

Odd BK U19 ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.