Stabaek U19 vs Lillestrom U19

17 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.1 pp

Stabaek U19

Lillestrom U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 40.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% 2.26 DRAW 22.9% 4.20 AWAY 34.4% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Lillestrom U19 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.6% win probability, compared with 34.4% implied by the market. The 6.1 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Lillestrom U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stabaek U19 Lillestrom U19

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 19.3 · On target 11.8

Recent attacking output favours Lillestrom U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stabaek U19 Lillestrom U19

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Lillestrom U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stabaek U19 Lillestrom U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Lillestrom U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Stabaek U19 ↑ +0.29 (+14.7%)

Lillestrom U19 ↓ -0.03 (-1.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.