Itabaiana U20 vs Sergipe U20

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Itabaiana U20

Sergipe U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 33.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% 2.38 DRAW 27.7% 3.30 AWAY 33.8% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sergipe U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Itabaiana U20 Sergipe U20

Shots 1.5 · On target 0.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Sergipe U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Itabaiana U20 Sergipe U20

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.3

Itabaiana U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Itabaiana U20 Sergipe U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Itabaiana U20 = (0.0%)

Sergipe U20 ↑ +0.10 (+3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.