Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Sporting San Jose

19 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

Municipal Perez Zeledon

Sporting San Jose

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.8% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 52.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.1% 3.89 DRAW 27.1% 3.60 AWAY 47.8% 2.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sporting San Jose clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.0% win probability, compared with 47.8% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sporting San Jose has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Municipal Perez Zeledon Sporting San Jose

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 14.3 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Sporting San Jose, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Municipal Perez Zeledon Sporting San Jose

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Sporting San Jose has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Municipal Perez Zeledon Sporting San Jose

The combined recent performance profile favours Sporting San Jose.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Municipal Perez Zeledon ↑ +0.49 (+14.4%)

Sporting San Jose ↑ +0.04 (+2.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.