United Stars vs ASC

17 Sep 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

United Stars

ASC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 30.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.03 DRAW 24.3% 3.75 AWAY 30.9% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

United Stars ASC

Shots 2.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 2.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours United Stars, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

United Stars ASC

Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

United Stars ASC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

United Stars ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

ASC ↑ +0.07 (+2.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.