Rebels FC vs MEG

17 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Rebels FC

MEG

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.6% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 45.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.7% 3.00 DRAW 24.3% 3.80 AWAY 45.0% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: MEG

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rebels FC MEG

Shots 1.0 · On target 0.5 Shots 3.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours MEG, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rebels FC MEG

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rebels FC MEG

The combined recent performance profile favours MEG.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Rebels FC ↑ +0.63 (+26.3%)

MEG ↓ -0.33 (-13.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.