Al Najaf vs Al Fahad

17 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Al Najaf

Al Fahad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 22.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.1% 1.77 DRAW 28.2% 3.20 AWAY 20.7% 4.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al Fahad has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Najaf Al Fahad

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Fahad, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Najaf Al Fahad

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Najaf Al Fahad

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Najaf ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

Al Fahad ↑ +0.04 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.